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Consultancy on Climate Change Simulation Models development to assess impacts on Crop Productivity, Pasture Conditions, and Transboundary Pest Outbreaks

Intergovernmental Authority on Development

Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) -Djibouti Request for Expression of Interest (Consulting Services – Individual Consultant Selection) Name of project: FOOD SYSTEMS RESILIENCE PROGRAM FOR EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA-Additional Financing (FSRP-AF) Project No.: (P178566) Grant No: TF-D0339 Assignment Title: Consultancy on Climate Change Simulation Models development to assess impacts on Crop Productivity, Pasture Conditions, and Transboundary Pest Outbreaks Contract No.: DJ-IGAD-556148-CS-INDV The Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) has received additional financing from International Development Agency (IDA) the Food systems resilience program for Eastern and Southern Africa Phase 1 to scale-up Digital Agro-Climate Advisory Services and intends to apply part of the proceeds of this Grant to payments under this contract: Consultancy on Climate Change Simulation Models development to assess impacts on Crop Productivity, Pasture Conditions, and Transboundary Pest Outbreaks. The objective of the assignment: The overall objective of this consultancy is to develop integrated simulation models to assess how different climate-change scenarios may affect crop productivity, pasture conditions, and outbreaks of transboundary pests, while strengthening operational forecasting capabilities for these three thematic areas across the IGAD region. More details are available in the Terms of Reference attached/ or can be availed on request Expected Outputs and Deliverables The following deliverables are expected from this consultancy: Inception Report: Refined methodology, detailed work plan, proposed climate scenarios, modelling methods, and quality-assurance framework. Climate-Change Scenario Framework: Defined historical baseline, selected climate-change pathways, planning horizons, downscaling methods, and uncertainty-assessment approach. Crop Productivity Simulation Model: Validated models and scenario-analysis outputs showing projected changes in cro

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